Originally published at: http://rotoviz.com/2018/02/dynasty-startup-most-controversial-selections/
We asked our writers to select their most controversial selections from our recent dynasty startup mock. The answers were terrific and included players who were too young, too old, too boring, or just played the wrong position.
Just to add a couple other notes on Josh Gordon, suspension risk aside, he is a profile of WR that I feel is a safer bet for volume in dynasty leagues. It's difficult to predict volume & opportunity longterm, but he is a physical freak that any OC would be challenged not to throw to 140 times a year. And he basically walked in off the street and got ~9 targets a game with Coleman and Njoku.
Sammy Watkins was available at this spot, but the fact that we've already seen the Rams willing to use him in a role that is fantasy unfriendly is very worrisome to me. I feel confident that at least in year one, the Browns will give Gordon heavy volume, and we've seen in HOU how a bad team/QB can sometimes maintain a WR1 (even if it's fantasy unfriendly for the team as a whole).
As the first person to take a QB, I'll also address the suggestion that waiting on a QB is more important in dynasty. I think the opposite is true at the very top. QB is the most predictable position, as well as the highest scoring position, so I'm excited to get the dominant player still in his (late) prime in Aaron Rodgers. For his career he averages 312 points per 16 from passing yards & TDs only (19.5 ppg). He adds healthy rushing points too, but his dominance is not in jeopardy if he reins back the running (unlike, Russell and Cam, for whom that can be a catastrophe). I'm focusing on certainty as much as possible early in the startup, especially in a draft like this with so much uncertainty with the real NFL draft ahead, and Rodgers is one of the surest bets in fantasy. But if I don't get Rodgers, or possibly Russell Wilson, then I'm waiting a long time unless I get a discount on an old player like Brees or Brady, and then targeting running QBs late, or possibly in the rookie draft. The opportunity cost of taking a QB early is signficant, but the cost of getting locked out of a good QB--possibly long term--is sizable, both in terms of roster spots and in-season scoring.