#1 By: bmoff, January 8th, 2018 17:58
Hey everybody. Congrats to everyone that placed this year (because I know I didn't!).
Something I've been curious about and am trying to guesstimate at is the 2018 NFL Draft, establishing who the offensive playmakers are coming out, then prepping as necessary. I've got 4 picks in my dynasty league in top the 20, which is nice, but I'm concerned that this year will be really weak overall for offensive skill position talent. Obviously we're really far away and haven't had the combine yet, etc., but just an overall snapshot of the first round from some big mock draft sites:
Average of 10 offensive fantasy players drafted in first round. Half of those are quarterbacks of varying levels of quality. The most I've seen is 1 TE and 3 RB in the first, usually 0 and 1 respectively. WR varies, but usually around 3.
Anyway, this worries me that my picks are not super valuable and might be better served pursuing guys in trades instead. Plus, in dynasty with deep rosters, the free agent pool is already pretty thin.
Would love to hear more thoughts from you guys.
#2 By: Robert Strong, January 9th, 2018 07:19
@bmoff If you're weak at running back this is going to be a good year to have picks, but the class is deep enough at running back that you could use some of those earlier picks and move back into the second round. I personally think the way to play it is to wait until your rookie draft night and selectively play the trade game. I don't think right now is the time to move these picks because even if it ends up being a weak class, people will overhype it and want their guy no matter what. Guys I like so far who might not be super hyped are Christian Kirk (2nd round), Trey Quinn (probably 3rd or 4th round), Rashaad Penny (small school bias), Bryce Love (unless the hype train gets out of control), John Kelly (if he comes out), Diocemy Saint Juste (probably undrafted in most leagues but a guy who could be like a Riddick if he has good agility numbers), Josh Adams (if he comes out). There are some FCS guys who have very interesting target shares so it will be interesting to see if 1 or two of the receivers who are 4th year seniors with another year of eligibility come out
#3 By: McG, January 9th, 2018 12:47
@bmoff - I agree with @StrongIAm that you may want to wait until closer to the draft to make these trades (maybe not night of, but certainly closer).
I like the RB depth in this class but I'm not sure about the WRs.
If you're not loving the draft, maybe it makes sense to try trading up? Get two guys you love instead of 1 guy you love and 3 you aren't sure about.
#4 By: Jordan Jackson, January 10th, 2018 22:16
I do think the running back resurgence will continue. After 2015 (that was the Freeman #1 year, IIRC), it was pretty evident the RB talent in the league had hit an all-time low. In hindsight, the opportunity available for RBs was pretty insane. I think there are about 7 landing spots where I would see any Day 1 or 2 pick having an immediate high return potential (New York Giants, Washington, Cleveland, Detroit, New York Jets, Indianapolis, Tampa Bay).
I have not yet done any research on the draft class but apparently Ridley and Sutton are vying for the top WRs. McShay called Ridley a top 10 pick during the National Championship FWIW. However, I just saw he is pretty much the same age as Sammy Watkins so that won't bode too well around these parts. I am very interested in these two, however, due to the increasing age of some of the current "good" WRs and overall need of #1 WRs.