#1 By: RotoViz, February 17th, 2017 11:48
Originally published at: http://rotoviz.com/2017/02/2017-rb-prospect-lab-rankings-pre-combine/
The RB Prospect Lab is one of my favorite apps. It’s a draft-agnostic tool that allows you to input age, size, speed, agility, production, and receiving ability to get a scaled projection of future fantasy prospects. You can experiment with the variables to see how they interact, or you can work with real prospects to…
#2 By: Shawn Siegele , February 21st, 2017 14:19
Which players are you most excited to see run at the combine? Which guys do you expect to beat my estimates by the largest amounts? Anyone I'm clearly too enthusiastic about?
#3 By: Gutterballs, February 28th, 2017 19:25
It is an arbitrary cutoff but it is nice to see that 8 of the 9 RBs who scored above 60 in 2015-16 appear to have the talent to be at least a fantasy RB2. Derrick Henry definitely looks like he has the potential to be a fantasy beast but has to share the backfield with Murray. Prosise looked ready to claim the Seahawks job before the injury. Cobb is the only clear bust in the 60 or above-group.
The pre-combine rankings by Shawn put 8 RBs in the 60-or-above group. I was shocked to see Foreman top the list even though I understand his 2016 production was off-the-charts. I unfortunately have the 1.10 pick in my rookie draft so I will have no shot at Fournette or Cook. So to answer the original question by Shawn I am most excited to see the combine results from every other RB so I can start to form my rankings.
#4 By: Shawn Siegele , February 28th, 2017 19:54
It sounds like Freeman will be lighter than his listed weight at the Combine and still not freakishly athletic (all relative, of course, he's going to be very athletic), so he'll likely be a post-combine faller.
I'm also very excited to see these results. I may be most interested in Perine, a player who might still be available in the 1.08 to 1.12 range even if he runs well. His production as a freshman was just crazy.
#5 By: Gutterballs, March 1st, 2017 10:53
Fournette weighed in at 240 (10 lbs higher than the estimate).
#6 By: Shawn Siegele , March 4th, 2017 02:36
I ended up on the optimistic side for the RB testing results. This reminded me a lot of the 2015 class which was such a disappointment in the testing (but has still produced a number of stars).
I'll have the updated RB Prospect Lab numbers soon.
Any thoughts on the results for any specific RBs?
#7 By: Adam Eraky, March 5th, 2017 13:40
I'm just blown away that McCaffrey's numbers, particularly his 3 cone score. 6.57 at over 200 lbs is just incredible.
#8 By: Gutterballs, March 7th, 2017 09:47
I would agree that McCaffrey really helped his stock. The weight-adjusted 3-cone along with the college production is exciting.
I also think McNichols really helped his stock. He already had a great score (75) in Shawn's first set of rankings. He then went to Indy and exceeded the weight, 40, and 3-cone thresholds in the first set of RB Prospect Lab rankings.
#9 By: Gutterballs, March 7th, 2017 10:00
Kamara is also an interesting case. He ranks as the top SPARQ RB according to Zach Whitman (https://3sigmaathlete.com/rankings/rb/).
However, looking strictly at the RB Prospect Lab numbers he weighed 1 LB less, ran a slower 40, and did not participate in the 3-cone.
I would guess the SPARQ numbers will elevate his draft stock which will help his projection.
#10 By: Shawn Siegele , March 8th, 2017 00:42
@Gutterballs Those were definitely the guys who jumped out to me. McNichols was a guy with concerns about his athleticism and then he went out and had a tremendous combine.
I've got the new Lab numbers calculated for this class, and I've got to get a little bit of commentary written up tomorrow. Then will have them out. I think the combine results are really going to shake up the rookie ADP.