#1 By: RotoViz, August 11th, 2017 11:08
Originally published at: http://rotoviz.com/2017/08/doug-baldwins-adp-makes-no-sense-by-itself-or-compared-to-similar-wrs/
Doug Baldwin is finally getting the respect he deserves, and it’s an overreaction. There are three psychological concepts that my fantasy football strategy incorporates: Exploiting Recency Bias Chasing the Dragon The Asch Experiment At their core, all three of these concepts are about the tendency for individuals to subconsciously conform to what larger groups of humans…
#2 By: kennel15, August 11th, 2017 14:39
I completely agree, and I'm glad someone put stats into backing up my gut feeling. Doug Baldwin isn't worth a 2nd round pick.
However, I will repeat the question that I posed in response to the TY Hilton article. Who in the world can we draft in the 2nd in snake redraft this year? Amari? Cooks? It seems like after the top tier of guys, there is a huge vacuum of value until we get to the 3rd-4th-5th round guys (especially at WR specifically).
The more I think about it, the more I'm strongly considering a player in that range that Rotoviz hates this year....Dez Bryant.
#3 By: dkpsports, August 12th, 2017 15:54
There is this:
I like Jordy if drops into second round. Otherwise I agree, it feels like rotoviz has written an arbitrage article on every player in this round.
#4 By: Adam Eraky, August 13th, 2017 20:36
I feel like they have too. He's getting up their in age, and Green Bay continues to stockpile weapons, but I'm sitting close to the turn in round 2 and just hoping he drops to me. If he doesn't....not sure what I'll do
#5 By: jesseross99, August 14th, 2017 13:02
I agree with most of this.
But why do we think his efficiency is "maxed out"? Isn't it possible that he was dragged down a bit by Russell Wilson being hurt last year? Wilson has been one of the best-ever QBs at throwing to his WRs, but suffered a bit in that department last year.
Baldwin to me is a bit like Mike Evans, in the sense of, volume will likely go down, sure, but efficiency likely to go up.
Give me Baldwin over a guy like Dez, who PFF has shown struggles against top CBs and is facing a murderer's row this year.
#6 By: Patrick Waterman, August 14th, 2017 13:31
I think if you are at the beginning of round 2, its Jordy obviously if he falls. If he doesn't fall, Amari is my pick. If you are against Amari, it probably wouldn't be the worst idea to gamble on Ajayi/Demarco. At the end of the 2nd round, i am seriously considering reaching for Demaryius. He's got a safe floor and still possesses some elite upside if Quarterback from Denver can get things clicking.