#1 By: Trevor.Moran, September 8th, 2017 22:48
My name is Trevor and I just subbed for the first time ever this month and have been reading so much of the content. Thanks to everyone who contributes! I have done all my drafts already but one. lol its a late one. But have some confusion. I have never heard of zero RB until reading your articles but i feel like i dont understand it that well. Say the League is 3wr 1te 1flex- do i draft 6 WR and 2 TE in the firt 8 rounds?
i have read the article about the 2TE early Strategy by @RotoDoc . Could you guys help me figure this out. what should be my goal in my drafts? maybe i can draft better in 2018 if i figure this out. Thanks!
PS any links to articles, podcasts, etc would be helpful
#2 By: devinmci, September 9th, 2017 01:25
This article of Shawn's should help, and also contains links in the beginning for more articles/pods to help understand the thinking behind the zero RB strategy.
You probably read the Zero RB target article, but just in case:
Top 15 Zero RB Candidates for 2017: The Update
3 WR, 1 Flx PPR format is a fine format to go ZRB, assuming you only need to start 2 RBs.
There is no single way to draft a ZRB roster, but the basic principles are that WRs are more predictable and less prone to major injury than RBs, and so you use your most valuable draft capital (dollars or early round picks) to stock up on the best WRs that should dominate targets. And because injuries and other unpredictable factors create really valuable RBs from the late rounds, you want to structure your roster to benefit the most from that chaos--i.e. you leave the draft with RB as your weakest position. For example, there are many teams out there that have Kareem Hunt on their bench this week; this will not happen to your zero RB team.
Then you attack RB with a volume of RBs later in the draft, and prioritize players that profile as guys that could take over a backfield if things break the right way for them, say Derrick Henry, or Tevin Coleman, or Donta Foreman, rather than Tarik Cohen. Although you can also mix in guys like Matt Forte and Jacquizz and Chris Thompson that should at least give you a floor of points early in the season so that you are not taking zeros, while you wait for opportunities for your upside guys to hit. But you don't want all pure passcatchers who likely have a ceiling on their opportunity.
There is no set way to build your roster--it will depend a lot on what the other drafters are doing, of course. But you can certainly go 8 rounds without an RB. But if you see players like Tevin Coleman or other targets you like for your ZRB roster falling below ADP, you should grab them. Mark Ingram, CJ Anderson, Doug Martin . . . these are guys we don't really love for ZRB at this site, but if they are falling to the 6th round, you can think about them, as you'll already have 5 top WRs locked up. Others don't like Ameer Abdullah, but I think he is a great ZRB target in the late 5th round, because I think he outclasses the other players on the team, and Detroit creates an incredible amount of passing opportunity for its RBs (almost a Saints-lite).
I don't really like the 2 TE strategy for most leagues. It's good for large format tournament leagues like the FFPC where you are not just trying to win your 12 person league, but take down a large field of owners, where you need a high upside superteam to win. But I think early TEs are fairly fragile, rather than anti-fragile, and there is a lot of value in waiting on TE till very late. TEs benefit from chaos in the same way that RBs do, so I tend to lean towards a zero TE team. If I see a Delanie Walker falling to the 10th round, great, but I'm happy grabbing Charles Clay or Jared Cook long after everyone is done taking their TEs. There are solid arguments for why TEs can be the highest value players available in certain early sections of the draft (same with QB), but it's hard to go wrong just waiting.
#3 By: Trevor.Moran, September 9th, 2017 01:48
Cant thank you enough for this amazing reply. I need to do alot more reading. This post will help me get the bigger picture of it. Thank you for the insight sir
#4 By: Daniel Schultz, September 10th, 2017 12:00
Aren't the some of these leagues using a TE bonus of 1.5 put per reception. I don't get the two TE approach unless there is a bonus because I can normally draft a higher scoring WR then I can draft a TE at comparable adp.
#5 By: Jeff, September 11th, 2017 10:32
The idea is to not draft a RB in the first 5 rounds and get 4 WR's and an elite player at one of the "onesie" positions (QB or TE). Shawn's preferred way is the TE route i believe. I try to always get a TE but sometimes it doesn't work out so I'll grab an elite QB. If you get an elite TE i don't think you need to draft 2. If you do wait till the later rounds. In your league since you can start 4WR's i would draft 6 WR's total.
Here is the article that started this all off 4 years ago.