#1 By: McG, January 2nd, 2018 12:38
As context, one of the reasons I won my league this year is because last year I cut bait and sold Jay Ajayi for an injured Keenan Allen.
So while I like these guys, and see them as part of my core moving forward, I don't want to get complacent. I thought I'd see if the rotoviz gang thought they're worth selling at this point while the season is fresh in my opponent's minds. Bonus karma if you say I should target player x when I'm trading player y.
Thanks, and I'm happy to give my amateur thoughts on any guys you're considering selling!
#2 By: hrr5010, January 2nd, 2018 14:34
I wrote up a few buy/sell recommendations (Weeks 14-16) for the offseason. Additionally, I know @devinmci has been offering similar dynasty/keeper league focused advice.
Just a couple of jumping off points for buys. And I consider several of my sell calls "buy" calls if you find the right price.
I'm of the belief that no said player is a hard buy/sell candidate without understanding what the return would be. Just try to do my best to quantify where I believe a players value should be, all else being equal.
That said - I like your RB situation. Especially if it's a PPR league. Same with your WR situation. The TE spot gets pretty ugly. I think you can cut bait/sell Eifert. He's a FA and probably gets signed as a long-shot on another team. I fear we've seen the best of him.
Greg Olsen is an intriguing sell candidate, because the thirst for TE scoring is real. @ndutton13 has smashed it with his TE streaming recommendations, so it's worth trading him away, especially since the perceived scarcity at TE means you might get more in return.
#3 By: McG, January 2nd, 2018 14:53
Thanks, I'll take a look at the articles as well. My league is not PPR, but there's a slight bonus for WR yardage. It's also a deep one and I feel like trades are a little undervalued part of team building because people are very conservative in trades.
This was more helpful than you know. When I read what you wrote about Eifert and Olsen, I thought "Yeah, he's not wrong. I could imagine not having those guys on my roster and being ok." So I'll shop them and see who bites.
#4 By: Matt, January 2nd, 2018 14:59
Agree on McCaffrey, not so much on Freeman w/r/t PPR. Freeman's receptions have cratered the last 3 years, from 73 to 54 to only 36 this year (and Freeman got 9 in the last game of the season). In comparison, Coleman's receptions the past 3 years are 2, 31, and 27 (and Terron Ward's are 9, 1, and 3). So in 2015 and 2016, the number of receptions for Falcons backs was fairly consistent (84 and 86), with Coleman getting a lot of passes in 2016 that the previous year had gone to Freeman, but this year under Sarkisian the Falcons are throwing to their backs a lot less (66) than they did to under Shanahan, especially to Freeman, although they seem to have come around near the end of the season. As a Falcons fan and a guy who has Freeman as a keeper in a 0.5 ppr league it was really frustrating to watch because Freeman is such a good receiving back and was totally underutilized in that facet of the game. I also don't understand why the Falcons don't run more packages with both Freeman and Coleman both on the field at the same time, but that's a digression from the discussion.
#5 By: hrr5010, January 2nd, 2018 15:23
Terrific notes. Thanks man.