#1 By: RotoViz, November 9th, 2017 13:47
Originally published at: http://rotoviz.com/2017/11/week-10-air-yards-the-best-wide-receivers-to-buy-low/
Each week I break out air yards data to find the wide receivers that stand the best chance to see an increase in their fantasy production. Last week the hit rate for the model was insane. I do not respect a repeat, but it does go to show there is real signal here. The model…
#2 By: Dennis, November 9th, 2017 13:51
Oh man i thought the bye may have helped Diggs. How do you know he's still hurt?
#3 By: Anthony, November 9th, 2017 16:39
@JollyG804 according to rotoworld it's a "tooth" injury. bring out the novocaine...
#4 By: How, November 9th, 2017 16:57
Too much Halloween candy on the bye week. Tsk tsk tsk.
#5 By: kdenigris, November 13th, 2017 13:18
The model was right, Diggs is #good.
#6 By: How, November 14th, 2017 08:19
So is Thielen. As a Diggs owner (and not a Thielen owner), I'm rather displeased with the target distribution. Diggs looks way too good to get 6 targets a game. He deserves 8-12 looks. He'd be ridiculous with that load, no?
Totally unrelated: I'm in a 10-team PPR keeper league. How crazy would I be to trade Dez Bryant away for Sterling Shepard? Bryant would be too expensive to keep, but Shepard would be 3% of my auction budget next year. Also, it seems possible Shepard outscores Bryant going forward, no? I'm in playoff contention, but I'm thinking this could be a move for today and the future.
#7 By: William Russell, November 14th, 2017 08:57
I would do this trade. Dez is banged up now and Dallas may struggle w/o Zeke. Even if they force feed him targets he will attract a lot of top CBs going forward.
Shepard gets a ton of targets already. He might even get a better QB next year if Eli retires. Good play for me in a keeper league.
#8 By: kdenigris, November 14th, 2017 09:01
Your logic sounds pretty reasonable to me. Especially with the keeper implications, I don't think it's crazy at all.
How do you guys handle keepers in your auction league? We moved our home league to an auction about 4-5 years ago and haven't looked back but there never seemed to be a logical way to incorporate keepers as easily as a snake. In a snake we were able to build in a slight inflation system so that the keeper value = +2 rounds where they were drafted- so 1st and 2nd rounders were not keep-able, 3rd rounder cost a 1st, 4th cost a 2nd and so on.
#9 By: How, November 14th, 2017 11:23
Thanks for the feedback, @Will and @kdenigris! The other owner said he'll consider the deal and get back to me later today. I'm also pursuing Emmanuel Sanders and a couple of other players this week (deadline is the 18th).
I'm the commissioner of this league, and the keeper rules we've settled on are as follows: maximum 3 keepers, can keep players for their cost of acquisition multiplied by 1.25 (so 25% increase in cost each year). Minimum cost to keep is 3% of the auction budget. We feel this rewards people who draft or work the waivers intelligently without locking in elite players for too long. The only exceptions are guys like Mike Evans (who was drafted for 3% of the auction budget in his rookie season) and Odell Beckham (whom I picked up off waivers for 3% of the auction budget in his rookie season, after his first two games playing).
I'm trying to snag Corey Davis, but I'm not out of contention yet, and the guy who has him is in contention and would want a bona fide star starter for him. I'm not sure I'm ready to throw in the towel yet.