#1 By: Trevor.Moran, January 3rd, 2018 21:50
Hey guys, I am a big Giants fan and they have the number 2 pick this year.
WIth all the front office moves and how they have performed this year, what is the next step in making the team better?
Do you draft Barkley if possible?
do you go with a QB
or do you draft OLine?
I would like some opinion from the guys here at rotoviz.
What is the history of rebuilding a franchise and by the numbers what works best.
I don't know if anyone has done research on this or not but it seems interesting.
Any useful links would be greatly appreciated too,, thanks guys
#2 By: Matt, January 4th, 2018 14:46
I think most analytically inclined people would shy away from drafting a running back that early. No idea about QB or O-Line for the Giants as I don't follow the team that closely.
In general, if I were trying to rebuild a franchise I would build the lines first and leave QB for the tail end of the rebuilding period. The rationale for that is that QB is by far the most expensive position and if you can have a QB on a rookie contract for 3 or 4 years, you have a lot more money to construct the rest of the team. If you draft a QB at the beginning of the rebuilding process, you are essentially wasting that potential competitive advantage because by the time you're done rebuilding and are competitive, you have to spend a ton of $ on your QB. That's why I didn't have a problem with the Browns not drafting a QB the last 2 seasons.
#3 By: bmoff, January 4th, 2018 15:39
Giants need youth and athleticism, on both sides of the ball. Their O-Line wasn't bad this year (15th for Rushing, 10th for Passing, per Football Outsiders stats), but could use some younger, healthier bodies. I know Eli is running out of gas, but he's not DOA yet, plus I think he really missed his ODB parachute. Their defense is in a similar situation.
I would tend to build everything else up first rather than go QB first and have to build around that (although it can work to do it that way, I think it's riskier). But Giants also don't have the worst team in the league, and I could see them rebound with some good luck next year to maybe fight for a wild card spot. That depends who is coaching them too I guess. The rumor mill has Jim Schwartz as the favorite, which, I don't think is a great choice, but McAdoo set the bar pretty low.
So as far as draft goes, since they're going so early I would look for some big-time playmakers early in the draft, then try to load up with youth and lineman down the road. Maybe a pick or two for skill position players, but those aren't super high needs at this point (I mean shoot, look at Minnesota with Keenum + Murray + Allen perfectly serviceable).
#4 By: Trevor.Moran, January 4th, 2018 23:17
Thanks for input guys. I really hope they take Barkley. I feel it would help to have a stud back there. Haven't heard much speak from the GM but I hear he fired the scout or something and said he is taking over the draft soo hard to tell what will happen.
#5 By: Matt, January 5th, 2018 10:39
This twitter thread does a great job explaining why using a high draft pick on an rb is a mistake because their production is replaceable.